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Auto Dealers May
Soon Feel Financial Pinch
As home values fall it's harder
for people to obtain home equity loans,
refinance or obtain money from their homes.
A decline in housing values, along with
a rising inflation rate is likely to reduce
the consumers overall confidence, making
them less likely to spend. Kevin Tynan,
an analyst for Argus Research, predicts
the auto industry is most likely to suffer
collateral damage from the credit crunch.
In the past decade, the industry has lengthened
auto loans to five and six years, up from
three and four years. Although the number
of repossessions doesn't appear to be going
up across all franchises, Ford Credit is
seeing the severity of its bad loans increase.
In the third quarter, the financing arm
lost up to $7,500 per bad loan, an average
of $1,000 more than the year before.
New Opportunities
Created Due to Changing Auto Market
“Loss of market share and
higher gas prices create an opportunity
for the auto industry to reinvent itself,”
said NADA Chairman Dale Willey, in a speech
to the Automotive Press Association in Detroit.
Effects of Rising
Oil Prices
Goldman-Sachs expects that gas will rise
to $4.30 a gallon by 2008, creating a huge
recession in the U.S. Since most every sector
of the economy relies on oil in some way,
the effects on the economy will be catastrophic.
Clean fuels will most certainly receive
greater support and use. Companies producing
equipment for wind and solar power equipment
will see increased growth, and car companies
will be forced to build more fuel efficient
cars rather than fuel guzzling SUV's.
Automotive dealers
Reduce 2008 Vehicle Orders
According to a Wachovia analyst,
Andrew Casey, 34 percent of dealers recently
surveyed now expect to reduce their 2008
vehicle orders, thus affecting production
rates through the rest of this year and
possibly the first quarter of next year.
a Wachovia analyst said Thursday. The survey
also revealed that 89 percent of dealers
surveyed believe that despite ongoing troubles
in the credit industry, there was adequate
financing available for their customers.
GM and Reynolds
in Court Over Dealer Software
Two years ago General Motors negotiated
a deal with Reynolds and Reynolds Co. to
replace the management system, Reynolds,
used by all Saturn dealers, to assist with
standardizing information and equipment
and lowering cost. On Oct. 4, Reynolds sued
GM in U.S. District Court for breach of
contract, alleging that GM should pay for
proposed software revisions. GM promptly
counter sued. Many dealers do not want to
switch from their old ADP systems to the
new Reynolds system. GM negotiated an attractive
price on behalf of over 440 Saturn dealers
and approximately 300 non-Saturn dealerships.
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